The Dogecoin (DOGE) worth is exhibiting indicators of pronounced weak spot after a serious worth surge over the previous two days. At one level on Monday and Tuesday mixed, DOGE costs fell greater than 21%. Following a outstanding rally since October 10—throughout which the memecoin surged over 360%—Dogecoin reached $0.4834 on December 8, the very best worth since Might 2021. Nonetheless, sturdy downward stress has since emerged.
How Low Can Dogecoin Value Go?
The present technical panorama suggests DOGE is at a vital juncture. Crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) shared his perspective on X with a each day DOGE/USD chart, commenting:
“Dogecoin is in full breakdown mode. Everybody with their triangle saved saying that DOGE was breaking out however because the Doge lead analyst I used to be in a position to establish that on the macro linear chart Doge was truly proper at its greatest factors of résistance that being the macro golden pocket. I warned everybody that this was not the place to really feel over exuberant and a serious pullback was on the desk. You’re welcome.”
Kevin has beforehand highlighted the “golden pocket”—a zone outlined by key Fibonacci retracement ranges (the .703 and the .786), positioned within the $0.47-$0.60 vary—as a vital resistance space. This area wanted to be decisively overcome for DOGE to have a chance at reaching new all-time highs. The current downturn suggests this resistance has held agency.
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Compounding the bearish case, the Dogecoin worth just lately broke beneath a rising pattern line that had supported its advance over the previous month. This pattern line failure signifies a shift in market dynamics. When a worth chart breaks beneath such a line, it continuously means that the shopping for stress as soon as driving the asset greater is waning. Merchants could interpret this breach as a cue to take earnings, exit lengthy positions, or think about brief setups.
One other technical indicator supporting a bearish outlook is the Relative Energy Index (RSI) on the each day chart. The RSI has been trending downward over the previous month, whilst DOGE continued making greater highs.
This basic bearish divergence—the place worth motion and momentum indicators transfer in reverse instructions—usually precedes reversals. The current transfer beneath the supporting worth pattern line, coupled with the RSI line breaking its personal uptrend, confirms that the momentum may have decisively shifted to the draw back.
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As for potential draw back targets, Kevin’s chart means that DOGE might drop into the $0.29-$0.26 area.
In the meantime, a more in-depth have a look at the Fibonacci retracement ranges on the each day chart supplies a roadmap of attainable assist zones. At present, the 0.5 Fib retracement at $0.39 seems to be a key battleground. A profitable protection of this degree would possibly halt the bearish pattern and even set the stage for a bounce back above the damaged pattern line.
Nonetheless, a each day shut beneath the 0.5 Fib would seemingly open the door to deeper retracements. Underneath such circumstances, DOGE might goal the 0.382 Fib at $0.31 and even the 0.236 Fib at $0.21 as the following potential assist ranges if the promoting momentum accelerates. On the decrease time frames, the 4-hour 200 EMA is at the moment the essential assist to carry.
Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
